Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Tavian Josenberger

BAL · AAA · LF · Age 25

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score56.7#945 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.705 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact23.9% KNear expected range
Approach14.9% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.0
Projected Range24–58
Arrival Probability63%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAAA
PositionLF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 52
56 49 42 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.3 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
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2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
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2026-09-1552
2026-09-1446.3
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247