Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Tegan Cain

PHI · High-A · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 23.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,167
Prospect Score54.4
Median51
Performance Signal+8.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445160
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 51
56 43 30 2026-08-14 · Median 34 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 41 2026-08-22 · Median 41 2026-08-23 · Median 41.1 2026-08-25 · Median 41.1 2026-08-27 · Median 41 2026-08-28 · Median 41 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 41 2026-09-05 · Median 41 2026-09-06 · Median 41 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.1 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.1
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0641
2026-09-0541
2026-09-0341
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2841
2026-08-2741
2026-08-2541.1
2026-08-2341.1
2026-08-2241
2026-08-2041
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634
2026-08-1434

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445160
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.7
Projected range26–76
Arrival probability9%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.