Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Teilon Serrano

MIN · FCL · OF · Age 18

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score51.6#1,484 Overall
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline52Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.844 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact30.9% KContact risk
Approach27.3% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid57How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid40Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.0
Projected Range27–63
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationMinnesota Twins
LevelFCL
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 52
57 52.5 48 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.3 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-10-05 · Median 52 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0552
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
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2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
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2026-09-1452.3
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252