Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Todd Kniebbe

BAL · High-A · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score66.2#333 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance69Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
69Solid current performance
Miss ability11.5 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance22.9% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management0.2 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection55.8
Projected Range31–81
Arrival Probability19%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 63
67 59 51 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 62.3 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
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2026-09-1462.3
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2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255