Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Tony Rossi

NYY · AA · P · Age 27

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score51.2#1,555 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor44Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling55High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Miss ability12.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance27.0% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Traffic prevention0.87 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider60
Control35

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-30

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh88How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh23Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection57.3
Projected Range33–82
Arrival Probability31%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 49
53 45.5 38 2026-09-02 · Median 42 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.5 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
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2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
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2026-09-1448.5
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0242