Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Tre' Morgan

TB · AAA · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#422
Score64.1
Baseline58
Signal+11.9
Trend+0.2
Floor54
Baseline58
Ceiling62
Confidence93 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Tre' Morgan

TB · AAA · 1B

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#422
Prospect Score64.1
Median58
Performance Signal+11.9
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
545862
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 58
74 63.5 53 2026-06-24 · Median 68 2026-06-25 · Median 68 2026-07-23 · Median 70 2026-07-24 · Median 70 2026-08-20 · Median 70 2026-08-22 · Median 70 2026-08-23 · Median 68.9 2026-08-25 · Median 68.9 2026-08-27 · Median 67 2026-08-28 · Median 67 2026-09-01 · Median 67 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 67 2026-09-05 · Median 67 2026-09-06 · Median 67 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-06-24 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0667
2026-09-0567
2026-09-0367
2026-09-0267
2026-09-0167
2026-08-2867
2026-08-2767
2026-08-2568.9
2026-08-2368.9
2026-08-2270
2026-08-2070
2026-07-2470
2026-07-2370
2026-06-2568
2026-06-2468

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
545862
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.9
Projected range23–57
Arrival probability55%
Productive role probability8%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.