Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Trevor Austin

HOU · AAA · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#797
Score58.5
Baseline55
Signal+0.4
Trend+0.3
Floor49
Baseline55
Ceiling61
Confidence63 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Trevor Austin

HOU · AAA · SS

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 25.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#797
Prospect Score58.5
Median55
Performance Signal+0.4
Trend+0.3

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.3
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 51 Latest recorded 55
60 47 34 2026-08-16 · Median 51 2026-08-17 · Median 51 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 50.5 2026-08-25 · Median 50.5 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 38 2026-09-05 · Median 38 2026-09-06 · Median 38 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55.3 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.3
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0638
2026-09-0538
2026-09-0338
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2550.5
2026-08-2350.5
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1751
2026-08-1651

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.3
495561
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +0.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.1
Projected range26–60
Arrival probability63%
Productive role probability7%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.