Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Trevor Harrison

TB · High-A · P

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 21.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#425
Prospect Score64.1
Median58
Performance Signal+8.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
535862
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 58
62 57 52 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56 2026-08-25 · Median 56 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 57.6 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1457.6
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2556
2026-08-2356
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1956
2026-08-1856
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656
2026-08-1456

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
535862
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.1
Projected range27–69
Arrival probability27%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.