Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Trevor Kuncl

CIN · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,956
Score19.9
Baseline23
Signal-28.5
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline23
Ceiling32
Confidence58 Risk66 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Trevor Kuncl

CIN · AAA · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 27.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,956
Prospect Score19.9
Median23
Performance Signal-28.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202332
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 23
32 25 18 2026-07-11 · Median 28 2026-07-12 · Median 28 2026-07-14 · Median 28 2026-07-16 · Median 28 2026-07-21 · Median 28 2026-07-22 · Median 28 2026-07-23 · Median 27 2026-07-24 · Median 26 2026-08-27 · Median 22.4 2026-08-28 · Median 22.4 2026-09-01 · Median 22.4 2026-09-02 · Median 22.4 2026-09-03 · Median 22.4 2026-09-05 · Median 22.4 2026-09-06 · Median 22.4 2026-09-09 · Median 24 2026-09-14 · Median 24 2026-09-15 · Median 24 2026-09-16 · Median 24 2026-09-17 · Median 23 2026-09-18 · Median 23 2026-09-19 · Median 23 2026-09-21 · Median 23 2026-09-22 · Median 23 2026-09-24 · Median 23 2026-09-25 · Median 23 2026-09-29 · Median 23 2026-09-30 · Median 23 2026-10-03 · Median 23 2026-10-04 · Median 23 2026-07-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 23

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0423
2026-10-0323
2026-09-3023
2026-09-2923
2026-09-2523
2026-09-2423
2026-09-2223
2026-09-2123
2026-09-1923
2026-09-1823
2026-09-1723
2026-09-1624
2026-09-1524
2026-09-1424
2026-09-0924
2026-09-0622.4
2026-09-0522.4
2026-09-0322.4
2026-09-0222.4
2026-09-0122.4
2026-08-2822.4
2026-08-2722.4
2026-07-2426
2026-07-2327
2026-07-2228
2026-07-2128
2026-07-1628
2026-07-1428
2026-07-1228
2026-07-1128

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 66
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202332
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.5

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 66
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.5
Projected range18–67
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.