Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Ty Harvey

SD · Single-A · C

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#532
Prospect Score62.1
Median62
Performance Signal-7.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
576267
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 62
67 54 41 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 56.9 2026-08-25 · Median 56.9 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 62.4 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0362
2026-09-3062
2026-09-2962
2026-09-2562
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2262
2026-09-2162
2026-09-1962
2026-09-1862
2026-09-1762
2026-09-1662
2026-09-1562
2026-09-1462.4
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263
2026-09-0163
2026-08-2863
2026-08-2763
2026-08-2556.9
2026-08-2356.9
2026-08-2257
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 89
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
576267
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence89
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.8
Projected range15–51
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.