Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Ty Head

BAL · High-A · OF

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#910
Prospect Score57.2
Median55
Performance Signal+3.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465563
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 55
59 51.5 44 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 48.8 2026-08-25 · Median 48.4 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.7 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-20 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.7
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2548.4
2026-08-2348.8
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 49
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 8
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465563
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 8
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence49
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.