Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Tyler McLoughlin

NYM · AAA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score50.5#1,630 Overall
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor43Lower-end outcome
Baseline50Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.3 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command8.4 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention2.18 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid60How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.5
Projected Range12–61
Arrival Probability18%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Mets
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 50
55 42 29 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.7 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-10-05 · Median 50 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0550
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
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2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1433.7
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233