Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Tyler Schlaffer

CHC · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,839
Score48.8
Baseline47
Signal-4.9
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline47
Ceiling54
Confidence61 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Tyler Schlaffer

CHC · AA · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 25.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,839
Prospect Score48.8
Median47
Performance Signal-4.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
404754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 47
52 46.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.9 2026-08-25 · Median 45.6 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.5 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.5
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2545.6
2026-08-2345.9
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
404754
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.1
Projected range22–68
Arrival probability31%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.