Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Tyler Whitaker

HOU · AA · RF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,012
Prospect Score47.5
Median46
Performance Signal-19.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
394652
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 46
53 47.5 42 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 47.8 2026-08-25 · Median 47.8 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.5 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 46 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
2026-09-2946
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1446.5
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.8
2026-08-2347.8
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
394652
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection30.9
Projected range14–48
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.