Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Varis Villarreal

NYY · DSL · P · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score16.2#6,198 Overall
Baseline24Most likely outcome
Performance24Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline24Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
24Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.85 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping36How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited79Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 24 Latest recorded 24 Change -0.2
29 24.5 20 2026-09-02 · Median 24.2 2026-09-03 · Median 24.2 2026-09-05 · Median 24.2 2026-09-06 · Median 24.2 2026-09-09 · Median 24.6 2026-09-14 · Median 24.6 2026-09-15 · Median 24.6 2026-09-16 · Median 25 2026-09-17 · Median 25 2026-09-18 · Median 25 2026-09-19 · Median 25 2026-09-21 · Median 25 2026-09-22 · Median 25 2026-09-24 · Median 25 2026-09-25 · Median 25 2026-09-29 · Median 25 2026-09-30 · Median 25 2026-10-03 · Median 25 2026-10-04 · Median 24 2026-10-05 · Median 24 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 24

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0524
2026-10-0424
2026-10-0325
2026-09-3025
2026-09-2925
2026-09-2525
2026-09-2425
2026-09-2225
2026-09-2125
2026-09-1925
2026-09-1825
2026-09-1725
2026-09-1625
2026-09-1524.6
2026-09-1424.6
2026-09-0924.6
2026-09-0624.2
2026-09-0524.2
2026-09-0324.2
2026-09-0224.2