Player Profile
Victor Arias
TOR · AA · LF · Age 23
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score58.9#783 Overall
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Performance41Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor51Lower-end outcome
Baseline55Most likely outcome
Ceiling60High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.
Performance
Selected evidence41Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.645 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact23.7% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.278 OBPOn-base output is a concern
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh5Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection34.8
Projected Range18–52
Arrival Probability33%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAA
PositionLF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 56
Latest recorded 55
2026-10-05 · Median 55
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 55 |
| 2026-10-04 | 55 |
| 2026-10-03 | 55 |
| 2026-09-30 | 55 |
| 2026-09-29 | 55 |
| 2026-09-25 | 55 |
| 2026-09-24 | 55 |
| 2026-09-22 | 55 |
| 2026-09-21 | 55 |
| 2026-09-19 | 55 |
| 2026-09-18 | 55 |
| 2026-09-17 | 55 |
| 2026-09-16 | 55 |
| 2026-09-15 | 55 |
| 2026-09-14 | 55.4 |
| 2026-09-09 | 56 |
| 2026-09-06 | 55 |
| 2026-09-05 | 55 |
| 2026-09-03 | 56 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56 |