Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Victor Valdez

TB · DSL · SS

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 18.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#997
Prospect Score56.2
Median55
Performance Signal-0.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 55
60 52 44 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 48.1 2026-08-25 · Median 48.1 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55.4 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.4
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2548.1
2026-08-2348.1
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 80
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 29
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495562
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 29
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence80
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.9
Projected range23–59
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.