Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Warren Calcaño

KC · DSL · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,316
Score52.9
Baseline53
Signal+8.2
Trend0.0
Floor46
Baseline53
Ceiling59
Confidence83 Risk38 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Warren Calcaño

KC · DSL · SS

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 19.0 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,316
Prospect Score52.9
Median53
Performance Signal+8.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465359
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 53
60 50.5 41 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 46 2026-08-22 · Median 46 2026-08-23 · Median 45.2 2026-08-25 · Median 45.2 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55.3 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.3
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2545.2
2026-08-2345.2
2026-08-2246
2026-08-2046
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1646

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 83
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465359
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence83
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection43.3
Projected range25–62
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.