Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Welin Aponte

PIT · DSL · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score26.7#5,099 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance29Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling39High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
29Developing performance profile
Miss ability7.9 K/9Near expected range
Command7.6 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.0 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping48How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping52Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.6
Projected Range13–63
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 29
34 29 24 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 29.3 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
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2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
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2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1429.3
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228