Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Will Bush

HOU · AA · C

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 22.6 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#641
Prospect Score60.6
Median56
Performance Signal+15.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +15.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 56
61 56 51 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 55 2026-08-17 · Median 55 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 55.2 2026-08-25 · Median 55.2 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.3 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.3
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2856
2026-08-2756
2026-08-2555.2
2026-08-2355.2
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1755
2026-08-1655
2026-08-1456

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +15.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.6
Projected range18–53
Arrival probability32%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.