Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Will Watson

NYM · AA · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 23.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,123
Prospect Score54.8
Median55
Performance Signal-19.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 55
59 46.5 34 2026-08-14 · Median 46 2026-08-16 · Median 46 2026-08-17 · Median 46 2026-08-18 · Median 46 2026-08-19 · Median 46 2026-08-20 · Median 39 2026-08-22 · Median 39 2026-08-23 · Median 38.9 2026-08-25 · Median 38.9 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.8 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.8
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2538.9
2026-08-2338.9
2026-08-2239
2026-08-2039
2026-08-1946
2026-08-1846
2026-08-1746
2026-08-1646
2026-08-1446

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 87
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 20
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495560
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence87
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.9
Projected range18–68
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.