Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Williams Montero

BOS · Single-A · P · Age 19

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score54.9#1,109 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor46Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling65High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.8 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command6.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention1.85 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid27Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection47.2
Projected Range22–72
Arrival Probability5%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 56
67 59 51 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.8 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.8
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263