Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Wilmer Duarte

MIL · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

Rank#5,732
Score22.6
Baseline28
Signal-14.4
Trend-1.7
Floor20
Baseline28
Ceiling38
Confidence40 Risk65 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Wilmer Duarte

MIL · DSL · P

Milwaukee Brewers · Age at assessment: 18.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.

PB Rank#5,732
Prospect Score22.6
Median28
Performance Signal-14.4
Trend-1.7

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-1.7
202838
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 28
33 28.5 24 2026-08-16 · Median 28 2026-08-17 · Median 28 2026-08-18 · Median 28 2026-08-19 · Median 28 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 28.2 2026-08-25 · Median 28.2 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 28.7 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 28 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 28

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0428
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1428.7
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2528.2
2026-08-2328.2
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-08-1928
2026-08-1828
2026-08-1728
2026-08-1628

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 40
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 65
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-1.7
202838
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.4

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 65
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence40
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection25.2
Projected range0–50
Arrival probability0%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.