Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Wily Villar

TEX · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,832
Score28.3
Baseline28
Signal-16.9
Trend0.0
Floor21
Baseline28
Ceiling40
Confidence57 Risk26 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Wily Villar

TEX · AA · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 28.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,832
Prospect Score28.3
Median28
Performance Signal-16.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
212840
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 22 Latest recorded 28
35 24.5 14 2026-08-16 · Median 22 2026-08-17 · Median 22 2026-08-18 · Median 22 2026-08-19 · Median 22 2026-08-20 · Median 25 2026-08-22 · Median 25 2026-08-23 · Median 29.8 2026-08-25 · Median 29.8 2026-08-27 · Median 31 2026-08-28 · Median 31 2026-09-01 · Median 30 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 19.1 2026-09-05 · Median 19.1 2026-09-06 · Median 18.8 2026-09-09 · Median 30 2026-09-14 · Median 28.3 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 28 2026-09-30 · Median 28 2026-10-03 · Median 28 2026-10-04 · Median 28 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 28

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0428
2026-10-0328
2026-09-3028
2026-09-2928
2026-09-2528
2026-09-2428
2026-09-2228
2026-09-2128
2026-09-1928
2026-09-1828
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1428.3
2026-09-0930
2026-09-0618.8
2026-09-0519.1
2026-09-0319.1
2026-09-0230
2026-09-0130
2026-08-2831
2026-08-2731
2026-08-2529.8
2026-08-2329.8
2026-08-2225
2026-08-2025
2026-08-1922
2026-08-1822
2026-08-1722
2026-08-1622

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 26
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
212840
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -16.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.1
Projected range22–72
Arrival probability6%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.