Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Yaqui Rivera

BAL · AAA · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score70.4#190 Overall
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Ceiling75High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Miss ability10.8 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.4 BB/9Command risk
Contact management0.8 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid65How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.2
Projected Range20–69
Arrival Probability55%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 69
73 66 59 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 69 2026-09-14 · Median 68.9 2026-09-15 · Median 69 2026-09-16 · Median 69 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 69 2026-09-25 · Median 69 2026-09-29 · Median 69 2026-09-30 · Median 69 2026-10-03 · Median 69 2026-10-04 · Median 69 2026-10-05 · Median 69 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0569
2026-10-0469
2026-10-0369
2026-09-3069
2026-09-2969
2026-09-2569
2026-09-2469
2026-09-2268
2026-09-2168
2026-09-1968
2026-09-1869
2026-09-1769
2026-09-1669
2026-09-1569
2026-09-1468.9
2026-09-0969
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263