Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Yasser Mercedes

MIN · High-A · CF

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 21.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#586
Prospect Score61.5
Median57
Performance Signal+9.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 57
61 52 43 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 47.7 2026-08-25 · Median 47.7 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.5 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.5
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2547.7
2026-08-2347.7
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649
2026-08-1449

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 90
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence90
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.9
Projected range20–51
Arrival probability55%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.