Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Yoel Tejeda Jr.

WSH · AA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#565
Prospect Score61.9
Median57
Performance Signal+2.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 57
61 49.5 38 2026-08-14 · Median 42 2026-08-16 · Median 42 2026-08-17 · Median 42 2026-08-18 · Median 42 2026-08-19 · Median 42 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 51 2026-08-23 · Median 47.7 2026-08-25 · Median 47.7 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.5 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1456.5
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2547.7
2026-08-2347.7
2026-08-2251
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1942
2026-08-1842
2026-08-1742
2026-08-1642
2026-08-1442

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 91
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +2.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.2
Projected range23–68
Arrival probability43%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.