Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Yolfran Castillo

TEX · Single-A · SS · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score68.7#233 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance59Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
59Solid current performance
Offensive impact.806 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact13.7% KStrong contact signal
Approach12.9% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit55
Power45
Run55
Field60
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh90How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.8
Projected Range30–61
Arrival Probability77%
Productive Role Probability15%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 65
69 62.5 56 2026-09-02 · Median 60 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 64.7 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
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2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1665
2026-09-1565
2026-09-1464.7
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0660
2026-09-0560
2026-09-0360
2026-09-0260