Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Yordalin Peña

STL · High-A · CF

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 22.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,348
Prospect Score52.6
Median50
Performance Signal-2.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 50
59 51 43 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 52.6 2026-08-25 · Median 52.6 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2552.6
2026-08-2352.6
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435058
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -2.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection30.8
Projected range15–46
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.