Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Zane Barnhart

DET · AA · P

Detroit Tigers · Age at assessment: 24.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,554
Prospect Score51.2
Median49
Performance Signal-5.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 49
57 50.5 44 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 52 2026-08-17 · Median 52 2026-08-18 · Median 51 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 52.4 2026-08-25 · Median 52.4 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2552.4
2026-08-2352.4
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1851
2026-08-1752
2026-08-1652
2026-08-1452

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
424956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection42.5
Projected range18–67
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.