Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Leandro Arias

BAL · High-A · 2B

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 21.6 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#1,225
Prospect Score54
Median50
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
435057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 50
58 51.5 45 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 53 2026-06-06 · Median 53 2026-06-07 · Median 52 2026-06-08 · Median 52 2026-06-09 · Median 52 2026-06-10 · Median 52 2026-06-11 · Median 52 2026-06-12 · Median 52 2026-06-13 · Median 52 2026-06-14 · Median 51 2026-06-15 · Median 51 2026-06-16 · Median 51 2026-06-17 · Median 50 2026-06-18 · Median 52 2026-06-19 · Median 52 2026-06-20 · Median 50 2026-06-21 · Median 51 2026-06-22 · Median 50 2026-06-23 · Median 50 2026-06-24 · Median 50 2026-06-25 · Median 51 2026-06-26 · Median 51 2026-06-28 · Median 49 2026-06-29 · Median 49 2026-06-30 · Median 49 2026-07-01 · Median 49 2026-07-03 · Median 50 2026-07-05 · Median 52 2026-07-07 · Median 52 2026-07-09 · Median 51 2026-07-11 · Median 51 2026-07-12 · Median 50 2026-07-14 · Median 50 2026-07-16 · Median 50 2026-07-21 · Median 51 2026-07-22 · Median 51 2026-07-23 · Median 51 2026-07-24 · Median 50 2026-07-25 · Median 50 2026-07-26 · Median 50 2026-07-27 · Median 50 2026-07-28 · Median 50 2026-07-29 · Median 50 2026-07-30 · Median 51 2026-07-31 · Median 51 2026-08-01 · Median 50 2026-08-03 · Median 50 2026-08-05 · Median 50 2026-08-07 · Median 50 2026-08-08 · Median 50 2026-08-09 · Median 50 2026-08-10 · Median 50 2026-08-11 · Median 51 2026-08-13 · Median 51 2026-08-14 · Median 51 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 50 2026-08-18 · Median 50 2026-08-19 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 51 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 49.6 2026-08-25 · Median 49.6 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 49.6 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
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2026-09-1449.6
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2549.6
2026-08-2349.6
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2051
2026-08-1951
2026-08-1850
2026-08-1750
2026-08-1650
2026-08-1451
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2026-08-1050
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2026-07-3151
2026-07-3051
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2026-07-2251
2026-07-2151
2026-07-1650
2026-07-1450
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2026-07-0951
2026-07-0752
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2026-06-2050
2026-06-1952
2026-06-1852
2026-06-1750
2026-06-1651
2026-06-1551
2026-06-1451
2026-06-1352
2026-06-1252
2026-06-1152
2026-06-1052
2026-06-0952
2026-06-0852
2026-06-0752
2026-06-0653
2026-06-0553
2026-06-0454

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G101
PA408
AVG.252
OBP.361
SLG.355
OPS.716
HR6
SB12
BB%12.3%
K%20.8%

Frederick Keys · High-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
435057
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence61
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production34.7
Historical 80% error band19–50
MLB arrival in 3 years18%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels82822120003330.091.222.091.313
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Frederick KeysHigh-A1014083415986132640508512.252.361.355.716
2025Aberdeen IronBirdsHigh-A7829925629568022732504.219.315.273.589
2024Aberdeen IronBirdsHigh-A20857331840099180.247.341.301.643
2024Delmarva ShorebirdsSingle-A6727423027499033031516.213.313.291.604
2024FCL OriolesFCL726195731210431.368.500.9471.447
20243 teams · TotalAll levels94385322357416154944727.230.332.332.664
2023FCL OriolesFCL44162140173872319202012.271.370.414.785
2022DSL BAL BlackDSL46190157253472115274110.217.344.306.650

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
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More Baltimore Orioles profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.