Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Trace Bright

BAL · AAA · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 25.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,406
Prospect Score45
Median45
Performance40
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
384552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 40

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 45
51 41.5 32 2026-06-04 · Median 47 2026-06-05 · Median 47 2026-06-06 · Median 47 2026-06-07 · Median 47 2026-06-08 · Median 47 2026-06-09 · Median 47 2026-06-10 · Median 47 2026-06-11 · Median 40 2026-06-12 · Median 40 2026-06-13 · Median 40 2026-06-14 · Median 40 2026-06-15 · Median 40 2026-06-16 · Median 40 2026-06-17 · Median 37 2026-06-18 · Median 37 2026-06-19 · Median 37 2026-06-20 · Median 37 2026-06-21 · Median 36 2026-06-22 · Median 36 2026-06-23 · Median 36 2026-06-24 · Median 36 2026-06-25 · Median 41 2026-06-26 · Median 41 2026-06-28 · Median 41 2026-06-29 · Median 41 2026-06-30 · Median 41 2026-07-01 · Median 41 2026-07-03 · Median 44 2026-07-05 · Median 46 2026-07-07 · Median 46 2026-07-09 · Median 46 2026-07-11 · Median 46 2026-07-12 · Median 46 2026-07-14 · Median 46 2026-07-16 · Median 46 2026-07-21 · Median 46 2026-07-22 · Median 46 2026-07-23 · Median 45 2026-07-24 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 39 2026-08-22 · Median 39 2026-08-23 · Median 43.6 2026-08-25 · Median 43.6 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 42 2026-09-05 · Median 42 2026-09-06 · Median 42 2026-09-09 · Median 43 2026-09-14 · Median 43.4 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1443.4
2026-09-0943
2026-09-0642
2026-09-0542
2026-09-0342
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2543.6
2026-08-2343.6
2026-08-2239
2026-08-2039
2026-07-2444
2026-07-2345
2026-07-2246
2026-07-2146
2026-07-1646
2026-07-1446
2026-07-1246
2026-07-1146
2026-07-0946
2026-07-0746
2026-07-0546
2026-07-0344
2026-07-0141
2026-06-3041
2026-06-2941
2026-06-2841
2026-06-2641
2026-06-2541
2026-06-2436
2026-06-2336
2026-06-2236
2026-06-2136
2026-06-2037
2026-06-1937
2026-06-1837
2026-06-1737
2026-06-1640
2026-06-1540
2026-06-1440
2026-06-1340
2026-06-1240
2026-06-1140
2026-06-1047
2026-06-0947
2026-06-0847
2026-06-0747
2026-06-0647
2026-06-0547
2026-06-0447

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G28
IP123.0
ERA6.73
WHIP1.57
K/99.7
BB/94.2
K-BB%13.6%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
384552
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 40

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 23
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production38.7
Historical 80% error band16–61
MLB arrival in 3 years32%
Productive MLB role in 3 years4%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels0113.501104.08663022.004.50
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels128.4655022.134212178211.888.46
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Norfolk TidesAAA2117.702120092.111782792440881.708.58
2026Chesapeake BaysoxAA123.8276030.2181513218451.1713.21
20262 teams · TotalAll levels3136.7328260123.0135979226581331.579.73
2025Chesapeake BaysoxAA384.742315187.1675246458821.438.45
2024Bowie BaysoxAA0114.1827270112.0106585213601201.489.64
2023Bowie BaysoxAA102.1243017.0137418201.2410.59
2023Aberdeen IronBirdsHigh-A264.352218082.26250408481271.3313.83
20232 teams · TotalAll levels363.972621099.27557449561471.3113.27
2022Delmarva ShorebirdsSingle-A002.353017.22320450.785.87
2022FCL OriolesFCL000.001102.00000040.0018.00
20222 teams · TotalAll levels001.864119.22320490.628.38

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Baltimore Orioles profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.