Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jaison Chourio

CLE · AA · CF

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 21.4 · Bats: S · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact tool translating

Current contact results are broadly aligned with the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#173
Prospect Score71
Median65
Performance58
Trend-0.4%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 55; contact evidence sits near the 73th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 20.5%

What could change the read

  • A 14.2% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.376 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+14.3 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 73
Game Power+6.5 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 40

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 71 Latest recorded 65
84 71.5 59 2026-06-04 · Median 71 2026-06-05 · Median 71 2026-06-06 · Median 73 2026-06-07 · Median 75 2026-06-08 · Median 74 2026-06-09 · Median 74 2026-06-10 · Median 72 2026-06-11 · Median 74 2026-06-12 · Median 78 2026-06-13 · Median 79 2026-06-14 · Median 79 2026-06-15 · Median 79 2026-06-16 · Median 79 2026-06-17 · Median 80 2026-06-18 · Median 78 2026-06-19 · Median 78 2026-06-20 · Median 78 2026-06-21 · Median 76 2026-06-22 · Median 77 2026-06-23 · Median 77 2026-06-24 · Median 76 2026-06-25 · Median 75 2026-06-26 · Median 73 2026-06-28 · Median 71 2026-06-29 · Median 71 2026-06-30 · Median 71 2026-07-01 · Median 71 2026-07-03 · Median 71 2026-07-05 · Median 72 2026-07-07 · Median 72 2026-07-09 · Median 70 2026-07-11 · Median 70 2026-07-12 · Median 68 2026-07-14 · Median 67 2026-07-16 · Median 67 2026-07-21 · Median 68 2026-07-22 · Median 66 2026-07-23 · Median 68 2026-07-24 · Median 70 2026-07-25 · Median 69 2026-07-26 · Median 69 2026-07-27 · Median 69 2026-07-28 · Median 69 2026-07-29 · Median 69 2026-07-30 · Median 69 2026-07-31 · Median 69 2026-08-01 · Median 69 2026-08-03 · Median 69 2026-08-05 · Median 69 2026-08-07 · Median 69 2026-08-08 · Median 69 2026-08-09 · Median 69 2026-08-10 · Median 69 2026-08-11 · Median 69 2026-08-13 · Median 69 2026-08-14 · Median 69 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 64 2026-08-19 · Median 64 2026-08-20 · Median 64 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 63 2026-08-25 · Median 63 2026-08-27 · Median 63 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.1 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2565
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Metrics to follow

K% 20.5%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 14.2%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.376

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G115
PA522
AVG.274
OBP.376
SLG.408
OPS.784
HR9
SB42
BB%14.2%
K%20.5%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.4%
606570
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 58

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch69 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence94
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.2
Historical 80% error band25–60
MLB arrival in 3 years74%
Productive MLB role in 3 years11%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power40Developmental
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1566561119410109127.339.424.446.871
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Akron RubberDucksAA934203596695193749568932.265.362.393.755
2026Lake County CaptainsHigh-A221028216267027181810.317.431.476.907
20262 teams · TotalAll levels115522441821212639567410742.274.376.408.784
2025Lake County CaptainsHigh-A7935328537676122466779.235.380.284.664
2025ACL GuardiansACL827236610024101.261.370.304.675
20252 teams · TotalAll levels87380308437371226708710.237.379.286.665
2024Lynchburg HillcatsSingle-A984323346990242558866944.269.414.398.813
2023Lynchburg HillcatsSingle-A942357710036151.200.310.229.538
2023ACL GuardiansACL391891494052121125383719.349.476.463.939
20232 teams · TotalAll levels482311844759131128445220.321.446.418.864
2022DSL CLE RedDSL40175132323773128402214.280.446.402.847

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Cleveland Guardians profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.