Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Anthony Eyanson

BAL · AA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #17

Player Assessment

Current model read

The clearest reason to pay attention to Anthony Eyanson is the separation between what was expected and what he is currently producing. The 78 Performance Grade sits 23 points above the 55 scouting foundation, a large enough gap to change the shape of the evaluation. Slider (65) is the clearest carrying tool in the current scouting mix.

Prospect Score & Development

69/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

84/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

92/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
78/100

Strong current production

K/9
Miss ability12.8 K/9Strong strikeout signal
K-BB%
Dominance27.9% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
WHIP
Traffic prevention0.96 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
55
Fastball
60
Slider
65
Curveball
55
Control
50

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

The projection centers on 84, bounded by a 72 Floor and 87 Ceiling. The spread leaves room for development without making uncertainty the defining feature of the profile. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

The key question is whether the production forces the scouting view upward rather than drifting back toward it. Repeating the same performance against stronger competition or over a larger sample would strengthen the Floor and make the breakout harder to dismiss. That confirmation matters more now than simply adding another short stretch of strong surface numbers.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level62
Track record81
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 72Baseline 84Ceiling 87

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 84 on · Current Floor 72, Baseline 84, Ceiling 87

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1284pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0984pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0884pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0784pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0584pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0484pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0384pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3084pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2984pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2584pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2484pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2284pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2185pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1985pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1885pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1785pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1685pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1585pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1485pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0985pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0680pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2878pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2578pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2378pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-07-0570pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0369pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0170pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-3070pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2970pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2870pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-2570pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-1970pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1870pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1770pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1670pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-1470pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-0872pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-0672pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-0472pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 87 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 92/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.