Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Eduardo Quintero

LAD · AA · CF

Prospect Baseline Rank #9

Player Assessment

Current model read

Eduardo Quintero's current production is forcing the profile above its original scouting foundation. The 70 Performance Grade sits 15 points above the 55 scouting foundation, a large enough gap to change the shape of the evaluation.

Prospect Score & Development

73/100

Above average composite evaluation

Baseline

80/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

93/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
70/100

Solid current production

OPS
Offensive impact.942 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
K%
Contact20.8% KNear expected range
BB%
Approach17.4% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
55
Hit
55
Power
55
Run
60
Field
55
Arm
60

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Prospect Baseline places the central outcome at 80, with a modeled range from 64 to 83. The width matters: the upside is real, but the profile still has enough unresolved information to produce materially different outcomes. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

The key question is whether the production forces the scouting view upward rather than drifting back toward it. Repeating the same performance against stronger competition or over a larger sample would strengthen the Floor and make the breakout harder to dismiss. That confirmation matters more now than simply adding another short stretch of strong surface numbers.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level65
Track record74
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 64Baseline 80Ceiling 83

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 80 on · Current Floor 64, Baseline 80, Ceiling 83

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1280pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0980pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0880pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0779pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0579pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0479pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0379pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3079pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2979pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2579pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2479pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-09-1879pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1779pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1679pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1579pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1477pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0977pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0677pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2877pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2577pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2377pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-07-0772pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0572pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0372pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-3073pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2973pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2873pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2673pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2573pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2473pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2373pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-1973pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1873pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1673pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1573pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1473pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1373pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1273pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1173pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1073pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0973pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0873pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0773pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0673pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0573pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0473pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 83 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 93/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Verified league roster listing

The player appears in the season-scoped roster snapshot shown below. Prospect Baseline scores remain overall model evaluations.

Arizona Fall League · 2026

Verified roster listing: Glendale Desert Dogs · Snapshot date: 2026-10-09

Prospect Score: 73.0 · Baseline: 80.0

View league model rankings

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.