Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Albert Fermín

HOU · DSL · SS · Age 18

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score67.3#282 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance65Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor59Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
65Solid current performance
Offensive impact.992 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact18.4% KStrong contact signal
Approach24.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Hit55
Power50
Run55
Field50
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh85How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection56.3
Projected Range38–75
Arrival Probability28%
Productive Role Probability7%
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelDSL
PositionSS
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 65 Latest recorded 65
69 64.5 60 2026-09-02 · Median 65 2026-09-03 · Median 65 2026-09-05 · Median 65 2026-09-06 · Median 65 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 64.8 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
2026-09-2965
2026-09-2565
2026-09-2465
2026-09-2265
2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
2026-09-1765
2026-09-1665
2026-09-1565
2026-09-1464.8
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0665
2026-09-0565
2026-09-0365
2026-09-0265