Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Juan Valera

BOS · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#532
Score62.1
Baseline62
Signal+10.5
Trend0.0
Floor52
Baseline62
Ceiling73
Confidence70 Risk46 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Juan Valera

BOS · High-A · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#532
Prospect Score62.1
Median62
Performance Signal+10.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
526273
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 62
68 63 58 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 63 2026-08-22 · Median 63 2026-08-23 · Median 63.4 2026-08-25 · Median 63.4 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 63 2026-09-01 · Median 63 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.8 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0362
2026-09-3062
2026-09-2962
2026-09-2562
2026-09-2462
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1663
2026-09-1563
2026-09-1462.8
2026-09-0963
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263
2026-09-0163
2026-08-2863
2026-08-2764
2026-08-2563.4
2026-08-2363.4
2026-08-2263
2026-08-2063
2026-08-1963
2026-08-1863
2026-08-1764
2026-08-1664

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 70
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 46
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
526273
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.5

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 46
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence70
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.