Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Kyson Witherspoon

BAL · High-A · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#530
Prospect Score62
Median57
Performance50
Trend+2.5%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 53th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 9.8

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-13.7 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 53
Command+7.4 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 57

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 57
72 61 50 2026-06-04 · Median 68 2026-06-05 · Median 68 2026-06-06 · Median 68 2026-06-07 · Median 68 2026-06-08 · Median 68 2026-06-09 · Median 68 2026-06-10 · Median 68 2026-06-11 · Median 68 2026-06-12 · Median 68 2026-06-13 · Median 68 2026-06-14 · Median 68 2026-06-15 · Median 68 2026-06-16 · Median 68 2026-06-17 · Median 68 2026-06-18 · Median 68 2026-06-19 · Median 68 2026-06-20 · Median 68 2026-06-21 · Median 68 2026-06-22 · Median 68 2026-06-23 · Median 68 2026-06-24 · Median 68 2026-06-25 · Median 68 2026-06-26 · Median 68 2026-06-28 · Median 68 2026-06-29 · Median 68 2026-06-30 · Median 68 2026-07-01 · Median 68 2026-07-03 · Median 66 2026-07-05 · Median 66 2026-07-07 · Median 66 2026-07-09 · Median 66 2026-07-11 · Median 66 2026-07-12 · Median 66 2026-07-14 · Median 66 2026-07-16 · Median 66 2026-07-21 · Median 66 2026-07-22 · Median 66 2026-07-23 · Median 66 2026-07-24 · Median 63 2026-07-25 · Median 63 2026-07-26 · Median 63 2026-07-27 · Median 63 2026-07-28 · Median 63 2026-07-29 · Median 63 2026-07-30 · Median 63 2026-07-31 · Median 63 2026-08-01 · Median 63 2026-08-03 · Median 63 2026-08-05 · Median 63 2026-08-07 · Median 63 2026-08-08 · Median 63 2026-08-09 · Median 63 2026-08-10 · Median 63 2026-08-11 · Median 63 2026-08-13 · Median 63 2026-08-14 · Median 63 2026-08-16 · Median 63 2026-08-17 · Median 63 2026-08-18 · Median 63 2026-08-19 · Median 63 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 54.3 2026-08-25 · Median 54.3 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.6 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
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2026-08-2856
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2026-08-2554.3
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Metrics to follow

K/9 9.8

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 14.2%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.4

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G20
IP89.2
ERA4.22
WHIP1.38
K/99.8
BB/94.4
K-BB%14.2%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+2.5%
525761
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 50

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence90
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production46.8
Historical 80% error band26–68
MLB arrival in 3 years21%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball55Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control50Avg
Overall icon
Overall50Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballCutterChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Frederick KeysHigh-A101.2633014.1932010201.3312.56
2026Greenville DriveHigh-A354.781717075.17144401034781.399.32
20262 teams · TotalAll levels454.222020089.28047421044981.389.84

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Baltimore Orioles profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.