Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Arturo Disla

TEX · AA · 1B

Prospect Baseline Rank #1,505

Player Assessment

Current model read

No single approved signal dominates; the evaluation combines available scouting, performance, developmental, and model evidence.

Prospect Score & Development

47/100

Developing composite evaluation

Baseline

48/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

78/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
52/100

Developing production

ISO
Power.234 ISOAbove-average game power
K%
Contact25.2% KNear expected range
OBP
On-base foundation.378 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 48, between a 47 Floor and 50 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The narrow range reflects a more contained model outlook.

What to Watch

Track the next performance update and level assignment.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index10
Age to level30
Track record57
Data quality90

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 47Baseline 48Ceiling 50

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 48 on · Current Floor 47, Baseline 48, Ceiling 50

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1248pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0948pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0848pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0739pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0539pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0439pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0339pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3039pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2939pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2539pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2439pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2239pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2139pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1945pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1845pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1745pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1645pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1545pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1445pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0944pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0644pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0544pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0344pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0244pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0144pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2844pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2744pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2545pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2345pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2245pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2045pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1945pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1846pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1746pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1646pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1446pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1346pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1147pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1047pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0947pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0847pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0748pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0548pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0348pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0148pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3150pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3049pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2947pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2847pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2747pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2647pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2548pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2447pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2348pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2247pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2147pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1647pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1447pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1246pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1144pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0946pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0746pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0546pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0346pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0144pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-3044pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2944pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2844pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2644pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2544pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2445pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2347pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2247pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2148pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2047pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1948pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1848pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1743pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1643pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1543pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1443pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1344pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1244pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1144pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1044pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0945pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0845pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0747pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0647pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0549pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0449pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 50 is 2 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 10/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 78/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Verified league roster listing

The player appears in the season-scoped roster snapshot shown below. Prospect Baseline scores remain overall model evaluations.

Dominican Winter League · 2026–27

Verified roster listing: Aguilas Cibaenas · Snapshot date: 2026-10-09

Prospect Score: 46.5 · Baseline: 48.0

View league model rankings

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.