Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Blake Mitchell

KC · High-A · C

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 22.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#418
Prospect Score64.2
Median64
Performance Signal+13.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
596469
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 64
68 63.5 59 2026-08-14 · Median 64 2026-08-16 · Median 64 2026-08-17 · Median 64 2026-08-18 · Median 64 2026-08-19 · Median 64 2026-08-20 · Median 64 2026-08-22 · Median 64 2026-08-23 · Median 64 2026-08-25 · Median 64 2026-08-27 · Median 64 2026-08-28 · Median 64 2026-09-01 · Median 64 2026-09-02 · Median 64 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 64 2026-09-06 · Median 64 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.7 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 64 2026-09-18 · Median 64 2026-09-19 · Median 64 2026-09-21 · Median 64 2026-09-22 · Median 64 2026-09-24 · Median 64 2026-09-25 · Median 64 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0364
2026-09-3064
2026-09-2964
2026-09-2564
2026-09-2464
2026-09-2264
2026-09-2164
2026-09-1964
2026-09-1864
2026-09-1764
2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.7
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0664
2026-09-0564
2026-09-0364
2026-09-0264
2026-09-0164
2026-08-2864
2026-08-2764
2026-08-2564
2026-08-2364
2026-08-2264
2026-08-2064
2026-08-1964
2026-08-1864
2026-08-1764
2026-08-1664
2026-08-1464

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 90
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
596469
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +13.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence90
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.9
Projected range25–56
Arrival probability44%
Productive role probability4%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.