Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Brandon Downer

BAL · AA · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#2,534
Prospect Score44
Median44
Performance33
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
364451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 33

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 44
48 36.5 25 2026-06-04 · Median 40 2026-06-05 · Median 40 2026-06-06 · Median 40 2026-06-07 · Median 40 2026-06-08 · Median 40 2026-06-09 · Median 40 2026-06-10 · Median 40 2026-06-11 · Median 40 2026-06-12 · Median 40 2026-06-13 · Median 40 2026-06-14 · Median 40 2026-06-15 · Median 40 2026-06-16 · Median 40 2026-06-17 · Median 40 2026-06-18 · Median 40 2026-06-19 · Median 40 2026-06-20 · Median 40 2026-06-21 · Median 40 2026-06-22 · Median 40 2026-06-23 · Median 40 2026-06-24 · Median 40 2026-06-25 · Median 40 2026-06-26 · Median 40 2026-06-28 · Median 40 2026-06-29 · Median 40 2026-06-30 · Median 40 2026-07-01 · Median 40 2026-07-03 · Median 41 2026-07-05 · Median 37 2026-07-07 · Median 37 2026-07-09 · Median 37 2026-07-11 · Median 37 2026-07-12 · Median 37 2026-07-14 · Median 37 2026-07-16 · Median 37 2026-07-21 · Median 36 2026-07-22 · Median 36 2026-07-23 · Median 31 2026-07-24 · Median 30 2026-07-25 · Median 30 2026-07-26 · Median 30 2026-07-27 · Median 30 2026-07-28 · Median 30 2026-07-29 · Median 30 2026-07-30 · Median 30 2026-07-31 · Median 30 2026-08-01 · Median 30 2026-08-03 · Median 30 2026-08-05 · Median 30 2026-08-07 · Median 30 2026-08-08 · Median 30 2026-08-09 · Median 30 2026-08-10 · Median 29 2026-08-11 · Median 29 2026-08-13 · Median 29 2026-08-14 · Median 29 2026-08-16 · Median 29 2026-08-17 · Median 29 2026-08-18 · Median 29 2026-08-19 · Median 29 2026-08-20 · Median 29 2026-08-22 · Median 29 2026-08-23 · Median 29.5 2026-08-25 · Median 29.5 2026-08-27 · Median 29 2026-08-28 · Median 29 2026-09-01 · Median 29 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 33 2026-09-14 · Median 32.3 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2144
2026-09-1944
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2026-09-1432.3
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2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229
2026-09-0129
2026-08-2829
2026-08-2729
2026-08-2529.5
2026-08-2329.5
2026-08-2229
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2026 season

Current season · regular season
G30
IP66.0
ERA6.95
WHIP1.82
K/97.1
BB/95.0
K-BB%4.8%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
364451
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 33

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 20
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production37.9
Historical 80% error band13–63
MLB arrival in 3 years6%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels025.143107.011441261.867.71
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Chesapeake BaysoxAA014.501002.01111211.504.50
2026Frederick KeysHigh-A236.61150131.1352623719221.726.32
2026Delmarva ShorebirdsSingle-A127.44142032.2473027216291.937.99
20263 teams · TotalAll levels366.95302166.08357511037521.827.09
2025Delmarva ShorebirdsSingle-A213.2454025.02010906181.046.48
2025FCL OriolesFCL004.3253116.21411827171.269.18
20252 teams · TotalAll levels213.67107141.2342117213351.137.56

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Baltimore Orioles profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.