Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jackson Ferris

LAD · AAA · P Development List

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 22.7 · Bats: L · Throws: L

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Pitch quality translating

Current bat-missing results are broadly aligned with the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#159
Prospect Score72
Median68
Performance57
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 55; dominance evidence sits near the 49th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 9.8

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-9.0 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 49
Command+2.7 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 36

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 68
72 62 52 2026-06-04 · Median 61 2026-06-05 · Median 61 2026-06-06 · Median 59 2026-06-07 · Median 59 2026-06-08 · Median 59 2026-06-09 · Median 59 2026-06-10 · Median 57 2026-06-11 · Median 57 2026-06-12 · Median 57 2026-06-13 · Median 57 2026-06-14 · Median 57 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 56 2026-06-18 · Median 56 2026-06-19 · Median 56 2026-06-20 · Median 56 2026-06-21 · Median 56 2026-06-22 · Median 56 2026-06-23 · Median 56 2026-06-24 · Median 56 2026-06-25 · Median 56 2026-06-26 · Median 56 2026-06-28 · Median 56 2026-06-29 · Median 56 2026-06-30 · Median 56 2026-07-01 · Median 56 2026-07-03 · Median 56 2026-07-05 · Median 57 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 57 2026-07-11 · Median 57 2026-07-12 · Median 57 2026-07-14 · Median 57 2026-07-16 · Median 57 2026-07-21 · Median 57 2026-07-22 · Median 58 2026-07-23 · Median 58 2026-07-24 · Median 58 2026-07-25 · Median 58 2026-07-26 · Median 58 2026-07-27 · Median 58 2026-07-28 · Median 58 2026-07-29 · Median 58 2026-07-30 · Median 58 2026-07-31 · Median 58 2026-08-01 · Median 58 2026-08-03 · Median 58 2026-08-05 · Median 58 2026-08-07 · Median 58 2026-08-08 · Median 58 2026-08-09 · Median 58 2026-08-10 · Median 58 2026-08-11 · Median 58 2026-08-13 · Median 58 2026-08-14 · Median 58 2026-08-16 · Median 59 2026-08-17 · Median 59 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 58.8 2026-08-25 · Median 58.8 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 60 2026-09-05 · Median 60 2026-09-06 · Median 60 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 63.4 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2568
2026-09-2468
2026-09-2268
2026-09-2168
2026-09-1968
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Metrics to follow

K/9 9.8

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 13.5%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.5

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G24
IP109.0
ERA5.12
WHIP1.48
K/99.8
BB/94.5
K-BB%13.5%

Oklahoma City Comets · AAA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
636872
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 57

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch72 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence95
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.3
Historical 80% error band20–65
MLB arrival in 3 years53%
Productive MLB role in 3 years10%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels101.0443126.0123318360.7712.46
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Oklahoma City CometsAAA455.1224221109.010766629541191.489.83
2025Tulsa DrillersAA1073.8626240126.011859549661351.469.64
2024Tulsa DrillersAA132.5477028.12288214261.278.26
2024Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A443.392020098.17144374431191.1610.89
20242 teams · TotalAll levels573.2027270126.29352456571451.1810.30
2023Myrtle Beach PelicansSingle-A233.381818056.0352221133771.2112.38

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Los Angeles Dodgers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.