Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Jacob Kmatz

LAD · AA · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 24 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#103
Prospect Score74
Median71
Performance71
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 55; command evidence sits near the 98th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 1.6

What could change the read

  • A 12.4 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+10.8 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 94
Command+39.3 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 98

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 71
76 56 36 2026-06-04 · Median 61 2026-06-05 · Median 61 2026-06-06 · Median 61 2026-06-07 · Median 62 2026-06-08 · Median 62 2026-06-09 · Median 62 2026-06-10 · Median 40 2026-06-11 · Median 51 2026-06-12 · Median 52 2026-06-13 · Median 52 2026-06-14 · Median 52 2026-06-15 · Median 56 2026-06-16 · Median 56 2026-06-17 · Median 56 2026-06-18 · Median 56 2026-06-19 · Median 57 2026-06-20 · Median 57 2026-06-21 · Median 57 2026-06-22 · Median 57 2026-06-23 · Median 57 2026-06-24 · Median 58 2026-06-25 · Median 58 2026-06-26 · Median 58 2026-06-28 · Median 58 2026-06-29 · Median 58 2026-06-30 · Median 58 2026-07-01 · Median 58 2026-07-03 · Median 58 2026-07-05 · Median 61 2026-07-07 · Median 61 2026-07-09 · Median 61 2026-07-11 · Median 61 2026-07-12 · Median 60 2026-07-14 · Median 60 2026-07-16 · Median 61 2026-07-21 · Median 63 2026-07-22 · Median 63 2026-07-23 · Median 63 2026-07-24 · Median 62 2026-07-25 · Median 63 2026-07-26 · Median 64 2026-07-27 · Median 64 2026-07-28 · Median 64 2026-07-29 · Median 64 2026-07-30 · Median 64 2026-07-31 · Median 64 2026-08-01 · Median 64 2026-08-03 · Median 64 2026-08-05 · Median 63 2026-08-07 · Median 64 2026-08-08 · Median 64 2026-08-09 · Median 64 2026-08-10 · Median 64 2026-08-11 · Median 64 2026-08-13 · Median 66 2026-08-14 · Median 66 2026-08-16 · Median 67 2026-08-17 · Median 67 2026-08-18 · Median 67 2026-08-19 · Median 68 2026-08-20 · Median 68 2026-08-22 · Median 68 2026-08-23 · Median 67 2026-08-25 · Median 67 2026-08-27 · Median 69 2026-08-28 · Median 70 2026-09-01 · Median 70 2026-09-02 · Median 70 2026-09-03 · Median 70 2026-09-05 · Median 70 2026-09-06 · Median 70 2026-09-09 · Median 72 2026-09-14 · Median 70.6 2026-09-15 · Median 71 2026-09-16 · Median 71 2026-09-17 · Median 71 2026-09-18 · Median 71 2026-09-19 · Median 71 2026-09-21 · Median 71 2026-09-22 · Median 71 2026-09-24 · Median 71 2026-09-25 · Median 71 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 71

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2571
2026-09-2471
2026-09-2271
2026-09-2171
2026-09-1971
2026-09-1871
2026-09-1771
2026-09-1671
2026-09-1571
2026-09-1470.6
2026-09-0972
2026-09-0670
2026-09-0570
2026-09-0370
2026-09-0270
2026-09-0170
2026-08-2870
2026-08-2769
2026-08-2567
2026-08-2367
2026-08-2268
2026-08-2068
2026-08-1968
2026-08-1867
2026-08-1767
2026-08-1667
2026-08-1466
2026-08-1366
2026-08-1164
2026-08-1064
2026-08-0964
2026-08-0864
2026-08-0764
2026-08-0563
2026-08-0364
2026-08-0164
2026-07-3164
2026-07-3064
2026-07-2964
2026-07-2864
2026-07-2764
2026-07-2664
2026-07-2563
2026-07-2462
2026-07-2363
2026-07-2263
2026-07-2163
2026-07-1661
2026-07-1460
2026-07-1260
2026-07-1161
2026-07-0961
2026-07-0761
2026-07-0561
2026-07-0358
2026-07-0158
2026-06-3058
2026-06-2958
2026-06-2858
2026-06-2658
2026-06-2558
2026-06-2458
2026-06-2357
2026-06-2257
2026-06-2157
2026-06-2057
2026-06-1957
2026-06-1856
2026-06-1756
2026-06-1656
2026-06-1556
2026-06-1452
2026-06-1352
2026-06-1252
2026-06-1151
2026-06-1040
2026-06-0962
2026-06-0862
2026-06-0762
2026-06-0661
2026-06-0561
2026-06-0461

Metrics to follow

BB/9 1.6

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.00

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 30.5%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G46
IP71.2
ERA2.76
WHIP0.96
K/912.4
BB/91.6
K-BB%30.5%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
677176
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 71

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch71 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production55.2
Historical 80% error band31–80
MLB arrival in 3 years43%
Productive MLB role in 3 years9%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider70Plus-Plus
Curveball icon
Curveball60Above Avg
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels004.505008.0124421111.6312.38
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Montgomery BiscuitsAA213.65150224.219101054290.9310.58
2026Tulsa DrillersAA002.41130018.2175533251.0712.05
2026Bowling Green Hot RodsHigh-A312.22180628.1209746450.9214.29
20263 teams · TotalAll levels522.76460871.25624221213990.9612.43
2025Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A495.5623190110.013270681235801.526.55

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Los Angeles Dodgers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.