Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Josue De Paula

LAD · AAA · DH

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#4
Prospect Score90
Median89
Performance77
Trend+7.8%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 60; contact evidence sits near the 93th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 14.8%

What could change the read

  • A 13.8% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.401 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+26.1 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 93
Game Power+25.3 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 92

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 85 Latest recorded 89
93 86 79 2026-06-04 · Median 85 2026-06-05 · Median 85 2026-06-06 · Median 85 2026-06-07 · Median 85 2026-06-08 · Median 86 2026-06-09 · Median 86 2026-06-10 · Median 85 2026-06-11 · Median 86 2026-06-12 · Median 85 2026-06-13 · Median 85 2026-06-14 · Median 85 2026-06-15 · Median 87 2026-06-16 · Median 87 2026-06-17 · Median 86 2026-06-18 · Median 87 2026-06-19 · Median 87 2026-06-20 · Median 87 2026-06-21 · Median 87 2026-06-22 · Median 86 2026-06-23 · Median 86 2026-06-24 · Median 85 2026-06-25 · Median 85 2026-06-26 · Median 85 2026-06-28 · Median 85 2026-06-29 · Median 85 2026-06-30 · Median 85 2026-07-01 · Median 85 2026-07-03 · Median 85 2026-07-05 · Median 84 2026-07-07 · Median 84 2026-07-09 · Median 84 2026-07-11 · Median 83 2026-07-12 · Median 83 2026-07-14 · Median 83 2026-07-16 · Median 83 2026-07-21 · Median 83 2026-07-22 · Median 83 2026-07-23 · Median 83 2026-07-24 · Median 83 2026-07-25 · Median 83 2026-07-26 · Median 83 2026-07-27 · Median 83 2026-07-28 · Median 83 2026-07-29 · Median 83 2026-07-30 · Median 83 2026-07-31 · Median 83 2026-08-01 · Median 83 2026-08-03 · Median 83 2026-08-05 · Median 84 2026-08-07 · Median 84 2026-08-08 · Median 84 2026-08-09 · Median 84 2026-08-10 · Median 84 2026-08-11 · Median 84 2026-08-13 · Median 84 2026-08-14 · Median 84 2026-08-16 · Median 83 2026-08-17 · Median 83 2026-08-18 · Median 83 2026-08-19 · Median 84 2026-08-20 · Median 84 2026-08-22 · Median 83 2026-08-23 · Median 83.5 2026-08-25 · Median 83.4 2026-08-27 · Median 83 2026-08-28 · Median 83 2026-09-01 · Median 83 2026-09-02 · Median 83 2026-09-03 · Median 83 2026-09-05 · Median 83 2026-09-06 · Median 83 2026-09-09 · Median 83 2026-09-24 · Median 89 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 89

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2489
2026-09-0983
2026-09-0683
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2026-09-0383
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2026-06-0886
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2026-06-0585
2026-06-0485

Metrics to follow

K% 14.8%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 13.8%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.401

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G124
PA588
AVG.303
OBP.401
SLG.547
OPS.948
HR27
SB31
BB%13.8%
K%14.8%

Tulsa Drillers · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+7.8%
848994
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 77

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #6 MLB Top 100
Confidence95
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production53.2
Historical 80% error band36–71
MLB arrival in 3 years94%
Productive MLB role in 3 years46%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit60Above Avg
Power icon
Power60Above Avg
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense40Developmental
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels125949101150289122.224.339.449.788
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Tulsa DrillersAA12458850110615237227104818731.303.401.547.948
2025Tulsa DrillersAA41918000000150.000.053.000.053
2025Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A9842634265901611244818632.263.406.421.827
20252 teams · TotalAll levels10244536065901611244829132.250.391.400.791
2024Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A52230177324560421503813.254.422.356.778
2024Rancho Cucamonga QuakesSingle-A552512083758113641345714.279.388.447.835
20242 teams · TotalAll levels107481385691031731062849527.268.404.405.809
2023Rancho Cucamonga QuakesSingle-A743402825580152240466114.284.396.372.769
2022DSL LAD BautistaDSL532231864265132530323116.349.448.522.970

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Los Angeles Dodgers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.