Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Patrick Copen

LAD · AA · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 24.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Stuff not yet translating

The verified pitch-quality expectation is running ahead of current bat-missing results

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1,968
Prospect Score48
Median45
Performance41
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 65; dominance evidence sits near the 54th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 10.6

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-20.9 percentile gap
Expected 75 Observed 54
Command-1.4 percentile gap
Expected 25 Observed 24

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 42 Latest recorded 45
50 43 36 2026-06-04 · Median 42 2026-06-05 · Median 42 2026-06-06 · Median 42 2026-06-07 · Median 42 2026-06-08 · Median 43 2026-06-09 · Median 43 2026-06-10 · Median 43 2026-06-11 · Median 43 2026-06-12 · Median 42 2026-06-13 · Median 42 2026-06-14 · Median 42 2026-06-15 · Median 42 2026-06-16 · Median 42 2026-06-17 · Median 42 2026-06-18 · Median 41 2026-06-19 · Median 41 2026-06-20 · Median 41 2026-06-21 · Median 41 2026-06-22 · Median 41 2026-06-23 · Median 41 2026-06-24 · Median 41 2026-06-25 · Median 40 2026-06-26 · Median 40 2026-06-28 · Median 40 2026-06-29 · Median 40 2026-06-30 · Median 40 2026-07-01 · Median 40 2026-07-03 · Median 43 2026-07-05 · Median 43 2026-07-07 · Median 42 2026-07-09 · Median 42 2026-07-11 · Median 42 2026-07-12 · Median 42 2026-07-14 · Median 43 2026-07-16 · Median 43 2026-07-21 · Median 43 2026-07-22 · Median 43 2026-07-23 · Median 43 2026-07-24 · Median 43 2026-07-25 · Median 43 2026-07-26 · Median 43 2026-07-27 · Median 43 2026-07-28 · Median 43 2026-07-29 · Median 43 2026-07-30 · Median 43 2026-07-31 · Median 43 2026-08-01 · Median 43 2026-08-03 · Median 43 2026-08-05 · Median 43 2026-08-07 · Median 43 2026-08-08 · Median 43 2026-08-09 · Median 43 2026-08-10 · Median 44 2026-08-11 · Median 44 2026-08-13 · Median 44 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 44.7 2026-08-25 · Median 44.7 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 45 2026-09-14 · Median 45.5 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1445.5
2026-09-0945
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2544.7
2026-08-2344.7
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
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2026-08-0843
2026-08-0743
2026-08-0543
2026-08-0343
2026-08-0143
2026-07-3143
2026-07-3043
2026-07-2943
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2026-07-2643
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2026-07-2243
2026-07-2143
2026-07-1643
2026-07-1443
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2026-07-1142
2026-07-0942
2026-07-0742
2026-07-0543
2026-07-0343
2026-07-0140
2026-06-3040
2026-06-2940
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2026-06-2640
2026-06-2540
2026-06-2441
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2026-06-2241
2026-06-2141
2026-06-2041
2026-06-1941
2026-06-1841
2026-06-1742
2026-06-1642
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2026-06-0843
2026-06-0742
2026-06-0642
2026-06-0542
2026-06-0442

Metrics to follow

K/9 10.6

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 12.8%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 5.4

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G26
IP116.0
ERA5.90
WHIP1.55
K/910.6
BB/95.4
K-BB%12.8%

Tulsa Drillers · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
404550
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 41

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 34
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production41.1
Historical 80% error band18–64
MLB arrival in 3 years33%
Productive MLB role in 3 years4%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball65Plus
Slider icon
Slider60Above Avg
Cutter icon
Cutter50Avg
Command icon
Control35Developmental
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCutterCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels203.9433016.0177705121.386.75
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Tulsa DrillersAA975.9026230116.0111827614691361.5510.55
2025Tulsa DrillersAA164.521717069.2634335152751.659.69
2025Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A312.251010048.0221212132771.1314.44
20252 teams · TotalAll levels473.5927270117.28555472841521.4411.63
2024Great Lakes LoonsHigh-A324.2399038.1361818229381.708.92
2024Rancho Cucamonga QuakesSingle-A523.151311054.1402019125601.209.94
20242 teams · TotalAll levels843.592220092.2763837354981.409.52
2023Rancho Cucamonga QuakesSingle-A000.002203.12000321.505.40
2023ACL DodgersACL000.001001.01000001.000.00
20232 teams · TotalAll levels000.003204.13000321.384.15

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

Checklist appearances

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Los Angeles Dodgers profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.