Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ralphy Velazquez

CLE · AAA · 1B

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 21.3 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#11
Prospect Score86
Median84
Performance71
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 80th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 19.9%

What could change the read

  • A 0.379 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+30.4 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 80
Game Power+27.2 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 94

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 80 Latest recorded 84
89 77.5 66 2026-06-04 · Median 80 2026-06-05 · Median 80 2026-06-06 · Median 80 2026-06-07 · Median 79 2026-06-08 · Median 81 2026-06-09 · Median 81 2026-06-10 · Median 82 2026-06-11 · Median 82 2026-06-12 · Median 80 2026-06-13 · Median 80 2026-06-14 · Median 77 2026-06-15 · Median 76 2026-06-16 · Median 75 2026-06-17 · Median 73 2026-06-18 · Median 73 2026-06-19 · Median 73 2026-06-20 · Median 73 2026-06-21 · Median 72 2026-06-22 · Median 73 2026-06-23 · Median 73 2026-06-24 · Median 73 2026-06-25 · Median 72 2026-06-26 · Median 72 2026-06-28 · Median 71 2026-06-29 · Median 72 2026-06-30 · Median 72 2026-07-01 · Median 71 2026-07-03 · Median 70 2026-07-05 · Median 72 2026-07-07 · Median 72 2026-07-09 · Median 73 2026-07-11 · Median 73 2026-07-12 · Median 73 2026-07-14 · Median 73 2026-07-16 · Median 73 2026-07-21 · Median 73 2026-07-22 · Median 74 2026-07-23 · Median 73 2026-07-24 · Median 74 2026-08-20 · Median 82 2026-08-22 · Median 82 2026-08-23 · Median 84 2026-08-25 · Median 84 2026-08-27 · Median 84 2026-08-28 · Median 83 2026-09-01 · Median 84 2026-09-02 · Median 84 2026-09-03 · Median 84 2026-09-05 · Median 83 2026-09-06 · Median 83 2026-09-09 · Median 84 2026-09-14 · Median 84.1 2026-09-15 · Median 84 2026-09-16 · Median 84 2026-09-17 · Median 84 2026-09-18 · Median 84 2026-09-19 · Median 84 2026-09-21 · Median 84 2026-09-22 · Median 84 2026-09-24 · Median 84 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 84

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2484
2026-09-2284
2026-09-2184
2026-09-1984
2026-09-1884
2026-09-1784
2026-09-1684
2026-09-1584
2026-09-1484.1
2026-09-0984
2026-09-0683
2026-09-0583
2026-09-0384
2026-09-0284
2026-09-0184
2026-08-2883
2026-08-2784
2026-08-2584
2026-08-2384
2026-08-2282
2026-08-2082
2026-07-2474
2026-07-2373
2026-07-2274
2026-07-2173
2026-07-1673
2026-07-1473
2026-07-1273
2026-07-1173
2026-07-0973
2026-07-0772
2026-07-0572
2026-07-0370
2026-07-0171
2026-06-3072
2026-06-2972
2026-06-2871
2026-06-2672
2026-06-2572
2026-06-2473
2026-06-2373
2026-06-2273
2026-06-2172
2026-06-2073
2026-06-1973
2026-06-1873
2026-06-1773
2026-06-1675
2026-06-1576
2026-06-1477
2026-06-1380
2026-06-1280
2026-06-1182
2026-06-1082
2026-06-0981
2026-06-0881
2026-06-0779
2026-06-0680
2026-06-0580
2026-06-0480

Metrics to follow

K% 19.9%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 11.3%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.379

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G121
PA538
AVG.290
OBP.379
SLG.548
OPS.928
HR29
SB2
BB%11.3%
K%19.9%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
798489
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 71

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #31 MLB Top 100
Confidence96
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production49.3
Historical 80% error band32–67
MLB arrival in 3 years95%
Productive MLB role in 3 years61%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power60Above Avg
Speed icon
Speed30Developmental
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall55Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels287110000100.143.250.143.393
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels15665510154021210140.273.379.455.833
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Columbus ClippersAAA853693205489161226339761.278.363.541.904
2026Akron RubberDucksAA3616914524469373022311.317.414.566.980
20262 teams · TotalAll levels121538465781352542993611072.290.379.548.928
2025Akron RubberDucksAA2812611218378352212190.330.405.589.994
2025Lake County CaptainsHigh-A944183715991206176340851.245.323.469.792
20252 teams · TotalAll levels122544483771282892285521041.265.342.497.839
2024Lake County CaptainsHigh-A198068512201910200.176.275.250.525
2024Lynchburg HillcatsSingle-A823733095675211105256758.243.362.414.776
20242 teams · TotalAll levels1014533776187231116166958.231.347.385.731
2023ACL GuardiansACL62823783028351.348.393.7391.132

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Cleveland Guardians profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.