Player Profile
Samil Serrano
WSH · DSL · OF · Age 18
Bats L · Throws LProspect Score65.2#377 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance66Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling67High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence66Solid current performance
Offensive impact.968 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact15.6% KStrong contact signal
Approach16.2% BBStrong on-base approach
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-24
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh84How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh24Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.5
Projected Range33–70
Arrival Probability26%
Productive Role Probability9%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelDSL
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsL
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 61
Latest recorded 61
2026-10-05 · Median 61
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 61 |
| 2026-10-04 | 61 |
| 2026-10-03 | 61 |
| 2026-09-30 | 61 |
| 2026-09-29 | 61 |
| 2026-09-25 | 61 |
| 2026-09-24 | 61 |
| 2026-09-22 | 61 |
| 2026-09-21 | 61 |
| 2026-09-19 | 61 |
| 2026-09-18 | 61 |
| 2026-09-17 | 61 |
| 2026-09-16 | 61 |
| 2026-09-15 | 61 |
| 2026-09-14 | 61.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 61 |
| 2026-09-06 | 61 |
| 2026-09-05 | 61 |
| 2026-09-03 | 61 |
| 2026-09-02 | 61 |