Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Joe Glassey

WSH · AAA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #35

Player Assessment

Current model read

Performance Grade of 81 supports the current evaluation.

Prospect Score & Development

67/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

83/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

82/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
81/100

Strong current production

K/9
Miss ability13.9 K/9Strong strikeout signal
K-BB%
Dominance35.8% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
WHIP
Traffic prevention0.81 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 83, between a 75 Floor and 86 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The range leaves room for development while keeping the central outcome in focus.

What to Watch

Track the next performance update and level assignment.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level48
Track record85
Data quality90

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 75Baseline 83Ceiling 86

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 83 on · Current Floor 75, Baseline 83, Ceiling 86

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1283pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0983pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0883pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0780pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0580pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0480pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0380pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3080pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2980pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2580pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2480pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2280pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2180pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1980pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1880pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1780pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1680pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1580pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1480pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0980pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0652pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0552pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0352pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0252pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0152pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2851pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2751pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2551pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2351pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2252pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2052pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1946pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1846pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1746pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1646pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1446pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1346pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1146pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-1046pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0946pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0842pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0742pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0542pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0339pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-0139pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3139pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-3039pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2939pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2855pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2755pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2655pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2555pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2454pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2355pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2650pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2550pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2450pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2350pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2250pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2150pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2050pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1950pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1850pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1750pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1650pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1550pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1450pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1349pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1249pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1147pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1047pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0947pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0847pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0747pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0647pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0546pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0446pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 86 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 82/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.