Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Seaver King

WSH · AAA · SS

Prospect Baseline Rank #66

Player Assessment

Current model read

Seaver King's profile is not evenly distributed; one tool is doing most of the separating. Run (70) is the clearest carrying tool in the current scouting mix.

Prospect Score & Development

63/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

70/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

94/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
62/100

Solid current production

OPS
Offensive impact.898 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
K%
Contact21.5% KNear expected range
OBP
On-base foundation.382 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
55
Hit
50
Power
45
Run
70
Field
50
Arm
55

Grades updated 2026-09-21

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

The projection centers on 70, bounded by a 56 Floor and 73 Ceiling. That broader band is a reminder that the Baseline is strong without being fully settled. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

Watch whether the run continues to separate as the competition gets better. The profile does not need every tool to jump; it needs the carrying skill to remain impactful enough to support the overall role. If that tool holds while the secondary skills improve even modestly, the Baseline has room to strengthen.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index0
Age to level62
Track record67
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 56Baseline 70Ceiling 73

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 70 on · Current Floor 56, Baseline 70, Ceiling 73

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1270pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0970pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0870pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0770pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0570pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0470pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0370pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3070pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2970pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2570pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2470pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2270pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-2170pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1970pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1870pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1770pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1670pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1570pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-1470pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0970pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0670pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0570pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0370pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0270pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-0170pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2872pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2773pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2573pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-2373pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2274pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-2073pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2369pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2269pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-2169pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1669pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1469pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1269pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-1169pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0969pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0769pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0569pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0368pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0170pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-3070pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2970pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2870pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2670pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2570pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2466pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2367pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2267pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2167pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-2068pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1965pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1868pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1767pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1668pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1568pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1468pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1369pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1269pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1170pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-1068pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0970pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0870pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0771pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0671pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0572pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-0473pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 73 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 94/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.