Prospect Baseline Profile

Yhoiker Fajardo

STL · AA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #79

Player Assessment

Current model read

Performance is doing more work than the scouting grade in Yhoiker Fajardo's current evaluation. The 69 Performance Grade sits 24 points above the 45 scouting foundation, a large enough gap to change the shape of the evaluation. The age-to-level relationship adds development value to the current performance.

Prospect Score & Development

62/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

82/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

94/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment

69/100

Solid current production

K/9

Miss ability11.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal

K-BB%

Dominance22.3% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation

HR/9

Contact management1.1 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Overall

Fastball

Slider

Changeup

Control

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

The projection centers on 82, bounded by a 63 Floor and 85 Ceiling. That broader band is a reminder that the Baseline is strong without being fully settled. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

The development advantage is already being rewarded, so the next question is how well the skills travel upward. At AA, age-to-level context is already helping the projection. Maintaining the same indicators against stronger competition would strengthen the Baseline more than simply repeating the current line in place.

Model factors and risk context

Model Risk Index0

Age to level74

Track record73

Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 63Baseline 82Ceiling 85

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 82 on 2026-10-12 · Current Floor 63, Baseline 82, Ceiling 85

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values

Date	Baseline	Model version
2026-10-12	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-09	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-08	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-07	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-05	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-04	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-03	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-30	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-29	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-25	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-24	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-22	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-21	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-19	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-18	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-17	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-16	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-15	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-14	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-09	82	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-06	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-05	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-03	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-02	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-01	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-28	77	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-27	77	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-20	68	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-19	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-18	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-17	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-16	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-14	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-13	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-11	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-10	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-09	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-08	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-07	68	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-05	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-03	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-01	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-31	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-30	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-29	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-28	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-27	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-26	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-25	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-24	79	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-23	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-22	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-21	76	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-16	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-14	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-12	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-11	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-09	73	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-07	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-05	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-03	74	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-01	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-30	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-29	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-28	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-26	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-25	78	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-24	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-23	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-22	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-21	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-20	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-19	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-18	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-17	75	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-16	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-15	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-14	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-13	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-12	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-11	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-10	75	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-09	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-08	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-07	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-06	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-05	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-04	81	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 85 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 94/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.